'It'll Be Smarter Than Any Single Human', Elon Musk Predicts AI Will Outshine Humans By 2025

Elon Musk, the billionaire and owner of X (formerly Twitter), recently made a noteworthy prediction regarding the advancement of artificial intelligence (AI). In response to a conversation between podcaster Joe Rogan and futurist Ray Kurzweil about the timeline for AI achieving human-level intelligence, Musk stated that he believes AI will likely surpass individual humans in intelligence by the following year. This assertion underscores Musk's ongoing concerns and keen interest in the potential trajectory of AI development.

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During the discussion, Kurzweil informed Rogan that he believes human-level artificial intelligence will be achievable by the year 2029.

He said, “We're not quite there, but we will be there, and by 2029 it will match any person. I'm actually considered conservative. People think that will happen next year or the year after."?

In response to the clip of the discussion on X, Musk commented, “AI will probably be smarter than any single human next year. By 2029, AI is probably smarter than all humans combined."

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What is Artificial General Intelligence(AGI)??

AGI, or Artificial General Intelligence, has gained prominence among global tech leaders, sparked by the emergence of advanced AI systems like ChatGPT and Gemini. Despite its widespread use, there remains a lack of consensus on its precise definition. Generally, AGI refers to a stage where an AI model acquires a diverse range of skills, enabling it to perform tasks as proficiently as, or even better than, humans.

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Diverse opinions among technology leaders exist regarding the timing and feasibility of achieving AGI, as well as its potential consequences for humanity. These leaders hold varying perspectives on whether AGI will materialize and whether it will pose risks or bring benefits to society.

What Is The Difference Between AI and AGI?

AI (Artificial Intelligence) refers to specialized computer systems designed for specific tasks requiring human-like intelligence, such as image recognition or language processing. AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), on the other hand, aims to replicate human-level intelligence across a wide range of tasks and contexts. Unlike narrow AI, which is limited in scope, AGI would possess versatile abilities comparable to humans, making it adaptable and capable of learning and problem-solving in various domains. Achieving AGI is considered a significant milestone in AI research.

Sundar Pichai Had Also Shared His Two Cents On AGI

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During an interview with the New York Times, Google CEO Sundar Pichai dismissed discussions about AGI, stating that he believes current AI systems will become highly capable in the future.

He said, “When is it A.G.I.? What is it? How do you define it? When do we get here? All those are good questions. But to me, it almost doesn’t matter because it is so clear to me that these systems are going to be very, very capable. And so it almost doesn’t matter whether you reached A.G.I. or not; you’re going to have systems which are capable of delivering benefits at a scale we’ve never seen before, and potentially causing real harm. Can we have an A.I system which can cause disinformation at scale? Yes. Is it A.G.I.? It really doesn’t matter."

Sam Altman Believes AGI Is The Most Powerful Tech Created By Humanity

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Sam Altman, the founder and CEO of OpenAI, has been a prominent advocate for the potential benefits of AGI for humanity. In an interview with Time Magazine last year, he emphasized the positive impact that AGI could have on society.

“I think AGI will be the most powerful technology humanity has yet invented. If you think about the cost of intelligence and the equality of intelligence, the cost falling, the quality increasing by a lot, and what people can do with that. It's a very different world. It’s the world that sci-fi has promised us for a long time—and for the first time, I think we could start to see what that’s gonna look like."