Omicron Surge: 10 Indian States Projected To Be Worst-Hit By Rising Covid-19 Cases

Omicron cases are on a rise in India and a recent projection by researchers from the Indian Institute of Science and Indian Statistical Institute, India could see a flood of Omicron cases -- as much as 10 lakh cases at its peak, which is expected to arrive sometime in the beginning of February.

Reuters

Also Read: Indian Statistical Institute Projects 10 Lakh Daily Covid Cases By February 2022

The projection has also shed some light on the flow of cases states across the nation could experience, if the infection rate continues at the current rate. Here are the top 10 states that could experience the most number of Omicron cases in the coming few weeks.

Maharashtra

Maharashtra could be the worst among the lot, experiencing over 175,000 daily cases at its peak (at 100 percent susceptibility), which is expected to hit almost around the end of January 2022.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, this number stays over 50,000 daily cases that are expected around mid-January. The curve is expected to flatten back to zero before March 2022 commences.

Karnataka

The second state that¡¯s going to be the most affected is Karnataka, where at 100 percent susceptibility, it could see over 120,000 daily cases (peaking around February 1st).

IISc/ISI

On 30 percent susceptibility, the daily cases could touch the 40,000 mark. The curve is expected to flatten before March 2022.

Also Read: Epidemiologist Lists 5 Reasons Why India Should Take Omicron Threat Seriously

Kerala

As per projections, the state of Kerala at 100 percent susceptibility could easily cross 100,000 cases at its peak that¡¯s expected during the last week of January, with the curve flattening again by the first week of March.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, peaking at around January 15, cases could reach up to 40,000 with the curve flattening in the first two weeks of February.

Tamil Nadu

Projections reveal that the state of Tamil Nadu could see the cases almost scrape the 100,000 mark at its peak (with 100 percent susceptibility) in the first week of February, with the curve flattening by mid-March.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, cases could cross the 20,000 mark during the last week of January, with the curve flattening before March.

Uttar Pradesh

Fifth on the list is the northern state of Uttar Pradesh. At 100 percent susceptibility, the state is predicted to cross 80,000 daily cases by the last week of January 2022, and the curve could flatten post March 2022.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, daily cases could cross the 20,000 mark by mid-January, with the curve going flat by mid-February.

Delhi

Delhi, at 100 percent susceptibility could scrape 70,000 daily cases at its peak that could be around mid-January.

IISc/ISI

The curve would flatten post-mid-February. At 30 percent susceptibility, the curve peaks over 20,000 daily cases and flattens in the first week of February.

Also Read: Omicron Variant: Three Graphs On Why It Could Be Worse Than Delta Covid Variant

Andhra Pradesh

Predictions reveal Andhra Pradesh to touch 50,000 daily cases (with 100 percent susceptibility) at its peak that¡¯s expected to hit right in the beginning of February and flatten around mid-March.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, Andhra Pradesh could see around 15,000 daily cases at its peak, with the curve flattening sometime before the end of February.

Chhattisgarh

Eight on the list is Chhattisgarh, with over 50,000 daily cases projected at 100 percent susceptibility, and the peak hitting during the first week of February, and ending around the last week of March.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, projection maxes out at around 16,000 to 17,000 daily cases in the last few weeks of January with the curve flattening around mid-February.

Gujarat

Gujarat barely crossed the 50,000 daily cases mark at its peak (at 100 percent susceptibility) in the last few weeks of January with the curve flattening right before March.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, a peak of 15,000 to 16,000 daily cases will be experienced in mid-January with the curve flattening in the first week of February.

Rajasthan

At 100 percent susceptibility, Rajasthan too barely scraped 50,000 daily cases at its peak, which arrived around February 1 and the curve flattened by March.

IISc/ISI

At 30 percent susceptibility, the curve peaked at 15,000 cases around mid January with the curve flattening around mid-February.

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